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The under is the preferred side in this one. Starting with the tempo, Villanova will almost certainly control the pace–much as they did in the first meeting between these two. The Wildcats play at one of the slowest tempos in the country, ranking 332nd in average possessions per game. Georgetown is the opposite, ranking 129th in average possessions per game. The first meeting played to just 64 possessions, which is right about at Villanova's average. It can be assumed that this will happen again. The box score from the first head-to-head contest also looks fairly pedestrian in terms of shooting percentages, turnovers, etc. That ended at 139 total points. Obviously each game is unique, but the fact that the tempo clearly was in Villanova's favor should make the under the lean from the get-go.
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There is also the possibility that Sunday is a big letdown game for Georgetown following their massive win at Creighton. Effort is impossible to predict, but it wouldn't be a total shocker to see Georgetown be Georgetown again, for lack of better phrasing. The reason this could be a possibility is that their win at Creighton was a pretty up-tempo game. Georgetown is not a deep team, ranking 332nd in bench minutes, so that game could result in some tired legs for the Hoyas. Look for the under to be the side that cashes in this one.
